Missouri Looking Better

by Mike on February 14, 2006

in Politics

Senator Jim Talent (R) has recaptured the lead in Missouri according to the latest Rasmussen poll. Talent leads Democrat Claire McCaskill 46%-41%. This 5 point lead for Talent is an improvement from the previous Rasmussen poll where he trailed McCaskill by 46%-43%.

The general rule, inapplicable to Presidential elections but valid in Senate and Congressional races, is that incumbents under 50% are in trouble so Talent still has some work to do but the trend looks good. I previously had this race as a tossup slightly leaning to the Democrats. I will now handicap this race as slightly leaning Republican. This one could be very close.

CURRENT PROJECTION: Leaning Republican (hold)

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