Another View on the “Surge”

by Ryan on April 29, 2007

in Politics,The Iraq Front

While General David Petraeus’ US military troop surge for the “Baghdad Security Plan” is roughly half in place, the Dems have been screaming failure and bloody murder as if the whole thing failed before it’s even in had a chance.  In fact Muqtada “Mookie” al-Sadr sounds like a mainstream Democrat on this point, and he’s our sworn enemy responsible for killing many of our troops!  Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer has a different view on the situation and the changing dynamics over the last two months that have resulted from of the past year of significant changes.

On last evening’s Journal Editorial Report, Paul Gigot had on Fouad Ajami, author of The Foreigner’s Gift: The Americans, the Arabs, and the Iraqis in Iraq, who just returned from “Red Zone” Baghdad.  His assessment of the surge was that of cautious optimism.  He thinks that the attitude amongst the people in Baghdad reflects that the surge is truly the last chance for stability before an impending American withdrawal.  Ajami stated that behind closed doors, all major factions quietly feel that they need America to stay as long as it takes to form a new status quo:

  • The Kurds love us and are willing to put a permanent base in Iraqi Kurdistan, but they’ve never been a problem for us.
  • The Shi’ites are the ruling majority now and need America to help make the Baghdad Security Plan work so that they can inherit a relatively stable government and overall situation.
  • The Sunni insurgency tried to foment a civil war over the last year and got their butts kicked for trying.  Baghdad has experienced enough ethnic cleansing to warrant calling it a mostly Shi’a area today.  The Sunnis realize that they can’t push their former subjects, the Shi’a, around without consequences that would inevitably leave the Sunnis the object of genocide if America pulls out too soon.
  • Al Qaeda would love us to stay so they can blow up more people, foment sectarian violence, and train current and new recruits in the instability.  Yet, in the last few months, the Sunnis have helped us track down al Qaeda in Iraq, seeing how al Qaeda’s terrorism has not frightened the Shi’ites, but made them angry– an anger directed toward Sunnis!

Ajami believes that the whole situation could collapse with a precipitous American withdrawal (ie– the Democrat’s plan), and he agrees with Petraeus, and even with Krauthammer, that the true trends and forces moving in Baghdad are not reflected in the media coverage of the war or with the Democrat’s pessimism.

{ 2 trackbacks }

Bush Came Back... for a few minutes « Axis of Right
May 24, 2007 at 3:29 pm
More Gloom and Doom on Iraq « Axis of Right
July 17, 2007 at 12:52 pm

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