Mitt Wins Illinois Straw Poll

by Ryan on August 17, 2007

in Election 2008,Politics

What does Mitt Romney’s victory in yesterday’s Illinois straw poll mean?  Clearly he has a statewide organization that can get out the vote this early to lead him to victory with an impressive 40.4%.  Some will say that these early straw polls really don’t mean anything, but in some ways I think this does. 

Romney would be an ominously a strong candidate if people knew who he was.  He more conservative than Giuliani, he’s more stable than McCain, and he’s more polished than Fred Thompson.  Yes, he’s a Mormon, but people will look past that once he gets the opportunity to articulate a response to the issue that people actually hear.  Most telephone polls at this point reflect name recognition and media play, but when Iowa and Illinois Republicans show up to cast actual votes, they’ve chosen Romney twice now.  It means that when the primaries and caucuses get into full swing, Mitt will show up as a candidate people are familiar with, at least in these two states, forcing his opponents to possible spend money where they do not want to.  Alas, the RPC average still has Romney pulling fourth place at 11.4% nationally, but we all know that politics is local during the primaries and Mitt’s competition better start showing up to these kinds of things– hint, hint Rudy and Smeagol.

Here’s how the vote went in Illinois:

40.35% — Mitt Romney

19.95% — Fred “Not Yet a Candidate but Rockin’ the Field” Thompson

18.87% — Libertarian Ron Paul

11.61% — Rudy Giuliani

4.12% — Smeagol

3.04% — Mike Huckabee

1.08% — Sam Switchback

0.65% — Vice President Duncan Hunter

0.33% — Tom “One Issue” Tancredo

{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

Mike August 17, 2007 at 5:20 pm

These straw polls are not binding but they are FAR better indicators of where the candidates are than any poll out there. They also have an effect on fundraising and building/consolidating statewide organizations.

This tells me Romney is doing better than the others at this point. George W. Bush was once in that position but then again so was Howard Dean.


shrugged August 17, 2007 at 5:23 pm

Romney is kicking tail at bussing in old folks to vote in straw polls and paying “supporters” a nice wage to pretend they like him as a part time job.


Mike August 17, 2007 at 5:25 pm


True, but it takes an organization to bus in old folks and pay people to vote for him; the same kind of organization needed to win a caucus.


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