Global Warming Takes a Snow-Day

by Sal on March 2, 2009

in Nature,Politics

You have to love the poetic justice of it.  Today, global warming nuts were planning to protest global warming at a DC power plant.  Mother nature had the last laugh, and has dumped a foot of snow on the DC area.  This seems to always happen to the left.  When Al Gore was to testify to Congress about Global Warming, there was a major snow storm.  Today, there’s a major snow storm.  Maybe God is trying to tell us to stop believing in this climate change hoax.

In all seriousness, we are currently experiencing the worldwide coldest winter in decades, and a growing number of climatologists are beginning to think that we may be headed for a global cooling cycle (one scientific analysis here), not a warming cycle, caused by normal cyclic patterns (who knew!?).  Much of the data behind which global warming has been based has been sufficiently debunked, leading me to wonder why it is still taken at all seriously.

{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }

Dalman March 2, 2009 at 5:32 pm

In all seriousness, we are currently experiencing the worldwide coldest winter in decades

Which of course is meaningless as a refutation of climate change. Individual data points are irrelevant. Would you say that a great baseball hitter (like Ichiro) was terrible because he went 0-4 for one game? No, because it’s not what a hitter does on any one individual day, its the aggregate trends that they put up. Same goes for climate change: individual years don’t matter, trends do. So when someone says something like “2008/2009 winter was the coldest in a decade” it doesn’t rebut climate change at all. It’s statistical noise. The trends show what we know to be true: the world is gradually getting warmer:

http://www.change.org/photos/wordpress_copies/2008tempplot.gif
http://www.ucar.edu/research/climate/images/pcmensembles2.jpg

The planet’s average temperature was 57.9 degrees Fahrenheit (14.4 degrees Celsius) last year, making it the eighth warmest year on record since 1880, according to the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
http://www.sciam.com/blog/60-second-science/post.cfm?id=cold-winter-doesnt-mean-global-warm-2009-02-12

and a growing number of climatologists are beginning to think that we may be headed for a global cooling cycle (one scientific analysis here), not a warming cycle, caused by normal cyclic patterns (who knew!?).

One link provided refers to the executive director of a right-wing think tank, and the other to a theory that doesn’t actually debunk climate change, but emphasizes a seperate cycle (I can go into further detail if you want). Your “growing number” is bull.

Much of the data behind which global warming has been based has been sufficiently debunked

In that article, you’ll find these sentences: “Of course, eco-maniacs will argue that it’s the global readings that count, not those of the USA alone. Nuts to that.” They are absolutely correct to worry that everyone is going to jump on this point, because its what makes this argument wrong. Localized results (i.e. US-only) are even more irrelevant than individual data points. It’s like proclaiming that, say the Red Sox’s TEAM batting average is low, because Jason Varitek went 0-4 in a game. Not only is it a specific data point within a trend, but it’s not even the full measurement – the problem is defined on the global level. Just like a snowstorm in March doesn’t mean there’s no global warming, specific individual data points in specific areas don’t mean the trends aren’t there, either. I suppose next you’ll notice that it cools off at night, and trumpet low nighttime temperatures as “proof” that climate change is a hoax?

leading me to wonder why it is still taken at all seriously.

Yeah, I can’t imagine.

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