Republican Revolution II?

by Sal on August 25, 2009

in Election 2010,Politics

Things are starting to point towards a shifting tide in the mood of the electorate.  With the economy still floundering and the American People’s lack of enthusiasm about ObamaCare, Democrats should start to get worried.  Dick Morris was on Hannity last night, discussing the Democrat’s problems, and predicted that Republicans could very well pick up 100 seats, especially if the Democrats try to go nuclear and force ObamaCare through the reconciliation process. Morris also points to the statement this weekend by Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT), who argued that Health Care should be put on the back burner or done incrementally, and that the real issue was the economy.  Yet the tone-deaf Democrats are insistent on trying to force through this unpopular agenda, much to their own peril.

Morris’s predictions should be taken with a grain of salt, as he is wrong almost as often as he is right.  Yet his political analysis does carry some weight.  Republicans were not predicted to sweep into power in 1994, but did so anyways.  Republicans have never been in the lead in the Congressional generic ballot in the past (typically when Republicans have done well, they have been tied with the Democrats or a point or two behind), yet now hold a 5-point lead over the Democrats.  Also, new data now points to red states gaining seats and blue states losing seats as a result of the 2010 census (H/T:  The Patriot Room).  In any case, signs are looking up for serious GOP inroads in Congressional elections, which will curtail any further radical leftward tilt after the mid-term elections.

{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }

Ryan August 25, 2009 at 2:17 pm

Without significant conservative change within the Republican Party, I can’t get too excited about next year’s prospects. If it’s a matter of an election being anti-Democrat/anti-Obama, the Republicans might still have not learned their lessons and big government “compassionate conservatism” may return. Who’d be the Republican leader? John McCain? “Goober” Lindsay Grahamnesty?

If the election’s about not being a Democrat, then we can’t expect any new leadership with conservative philosophical views to get the mandate. We still have 15 months for the conservatives to penetrate the doldrums of the Republican Party and shake them into a victory which will matter in the long-run.


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