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Likely Voter

Gallup Poll Statistical Madness

October 16, 2008

The Gallup tracking poll, although flawed in some ways, is also one of the less political of the mainstream polls, and fairly accurate.  However, this year they’ve introduced a new wrinkle.  As well as its traditional likely voter metric, they are introducing a new “Expanded” Likely voter metric to “take into account higher turnout among [...]

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