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Obama Team — Denied by Big Bird

October 9, 2012

The Obama team rolled out a new campaign ad which features (no joke) Big Bird: Wow.  Terrible use of sarcasm, silly imagery, and most shockingly this amateur-style ad actually has the President endorsing it.  Plus, Sesame Workshop has asked for the ad to be pulled since Big Bird is non-partisan. How weak can one possibly [...]

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The Fall Campaign Begins with Slight Obama Edge

September 8, 2012

There are now less than 60 days left until Election Day and the polls are very tight with Obama having a slight lead over Mitt Romney in the RCP average.  Rasmussen shows a discernible Obama bounce from his convention;  after being down by two to Romney last week, Obama’s up by two today.  In both [...]

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SOTU Anti-Bounce?

January 27, 2011

It remains to be seen where the numbers will play out, but thus far they are not looking good for Barack Obama.  As of Tuesday night, before the State of the Union, Obama had a 52% approval, 47% disapproval rating, with an approval index of -5.  Today, which incorporates 33% of respondents post-SOTU and 66% [...]

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A Portentous Stump in Massachusetts

October 17, 2010

Who would have thought two years ago that President Obama would have to spend time in a busy 2010 midterm election cycle in deep-blue Massachusetts stumping for Governor “Hopes and Dreams” Deval Patrick?  But here we are.  Didn’t work so well for Martha Coakley, though.  However, this time a third party candidate is sucking votes [...]

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Senate Election Polling Shows Mixed Results

July 19, 2010

Some good news and some bad news still a few months out before Election Day. The good news:  in the Pennsylvania Senate race, Pat Toomey’s up 45-38% over Joe Sestak in the latest Rasmussen poll.  I’d say “Keep up the good work, PA” but Pennsylvania loves to disappoint Republicans.  We’ll see how this plays out. [...]

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An Analysis of the Generic Congressional Ballot

April 9, 2010

Nate Silver at takes a look at the generic congressional ballot, and puts forth some statistical projections of how many Congressional seats the Democrats could be slated to lose this November based purely on historic trends and current poll results.  He takes four measurements into account: Current RCP Average Generic Congressional Ballot:  2.3% Republican [...]

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Don’t Underestimate Obama

February 2, 2010

Watching the performance of Obama and the Democrats this past year, it’s easy to get complacent and assume that 2010 and 2012 are wrapped up.  What we as conservatives fail to see is that Obama does still appeal to a segment of the population, even if they don’t like his policies.  Case in point:  on [...]

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Latest New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Poll: Christie Up Big on Corzine

June 5, 2009

I’ve followed a simple rule in NJ politics since arriving here in 2001:  in the primaries, you vote your conscience; in the general election, you vote against Corzine. Thusly, I voted in last Tuesday’s Republican primary for Steve Lonegan.  I met him last summer and know where he stands on the issues, so I was [...]

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Gallup The Shark

October 8, 2008

Some polls are scientifically valid.  Others are not.  At no time is that more obvious when the major polls not only show different numbers, but are also moving in different directions.  Earlier today, Sal gave us an excellent synopsis of both today’s tracking polls and their trends.  After his post, Gallup published its tracking poll [...]

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Polls Tightening – Movement Towards McCain

October 8, 2008

There is reason for optimism for McCain supporters.  The last couple of days of polling show movement towards McCain.  This is especially interesting in regards to the tracking polls, as they take a multi-day rolling sample.  As is my standard policy, I am ignoring polls that track only registered voters, such as the Gallup tracking [...]

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What’s in a Poll?

September 25, 2008

The latest round of polls are out, and they are somewhat all over the map.  Polls currently range from McCain up by 1 (Battleground) to Obama ahead by 9 points (Washington Post), with most giving Obama a slight edge.  Looking at the poll averages over at RealClearPolitics, it is worth noting that mos of the [...]

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Where Does Obama Stand on Gun Rights?

June 29, 2008

We’ve all seen the video from February where Obama agreed wholeheartedly with the 32-year-old DC gun ban, then when the Supreme Court interpreted the 2nd Amendment to mean what it says last week, he was for that too even though it overturned the 32-year-old DC gun ban. This incident recently reminded me of something my [...]

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It’s Not Over

January 24, 2008

The media would have you believed that the Republican nomination is all-but over, and John McCain is the nominee.  What this is is more of a case of the media hoping that their protege Republican will get the nod based on his perceived strength against the Democrats and his inevitability, much in the same way [...]

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